Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 57.88
Price - 52 Week High: 66.49
Price - 52 Week Low: 47.63
Price Date (Latest): 2/15/19
Median Price Target: 63.75
Diff from Prev Close: 5.87
% Difference: 10.14

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.6

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.23
FY0 End Date: 9/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 6.32
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 10.43
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 9/1/21 4.91 4.91 4.91 4.91 1 -- 1 -3.05
Annual 9/1/20 4.32 4.48 4.13 4.34 4 1 1 -1.91
Annual 9/1/19 3.73 3.83 3.63 3.74 5 -- 1 -3.60
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.84 0.85 0.83 0.84 5 -- 1 -6.18
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.94 1.00 0.90 0.91 5 -- 1 -5.56
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.04 1.07 0.98 1.06 5 -- 1 -4.23
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.03 1.08 0.89 1.08 4 1 1 -1.70
Long Term Growth 8.13 8.13 8.13 8.13 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 9/1/18 3.23 3.15 2.57
Annual 9/1/17 3.24 3.22 0.58
Annual 9/1/16 2.51 2.64 -5.01
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.91 0.90 1.56
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.96 0.87 10.18
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.79 0.82 -3.39
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.74 0.74 0.17

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 28.93
FY0 End Date: 9/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 9/1/21 37.33 37.33 37.33 37.33 1 -- 1 -2.33
Annual 9/1/20 33.12 33.12 33.12 33.12 1 -- 1 -2.02
Annual 9/1/19 28.58 29.12 28.04 28.58 2 -- 1 -3.46
Quarterly 9/1/19 28.81 29.57 28.04 28.81 2 -- 1 -2.66

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 9/1/18 28.93 -- --
Annual 9/1/17 30.66 -- --
Annual 9/1/16 27.40 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 28.93 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 27.27 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 27.65 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 1.97
FY0 End Date: 9/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 9/1/21 6.98 6.98 6.98 6.98 1 1 -- 9.89
Annual 9/1/20 6.29 6.29 6.29 6.29 1 1 -- 14.94
Annual 9/1/19 3.67 3.67 3.67 3.67 1 1 -- -19.62

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 9/1/18 1.97 0.88 123.86
Annual 9/1/17 4.97 4.64 7.04
Annual 9/1/16 3.75 4.44 -15.45

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 9/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 9/1/21 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Annual 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Annual 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 9/1/18 -- -- --
Annual 9/1/17 -- -- --
Annual 9/1/16 -- -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 131.80
FY0 End Date: 9/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 9/1/21 175.00 175.00 175.00 175.00 1 -- 1 --
Annual 9/1/20 164.13 169.00 157.20 164.30 5 -- 5 -3.71
Annual 9/1/19 150.38 152.40 148.50 150.50 5 -- 5 -2.87
Quarterly 3/1/19 35.26 36.00 34.50 35.32 5 -- 4 -2.67
Quarterly 6/1/19 38.13 39.44 36.70 38.20 5 -- 4 -2.75
Quarterly 9/1/19 41.24 44.00 39.30 40.96 5 -- 4 -1.82
Quarterly 12/1/19 39.50 41.01 36.60 40.90 3 1 2 -3.27

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 9/1/18 131.80 -- --
Annual 9/1/17 129.91 -- --
Annual 9/1/16 109.34 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 36.95 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 36.97 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 32.45 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 30.83 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 181.00
FY0 End Date: 9/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 9/1/21 236.00 236.00 236.00 236.00 1 -- 1 --
Annual 9/1/20 220.03 222.00 216.30 221.80 3 -- 2 -2.62
Annual 9/1/19 202.33 202.50 202.00 202.50 3 -- 1 -3.03
Quarterly 3/1/19 48.27 49.00 47.50 48.30 3 -- 1 -1.93
Quarterly 6/1/19 51.50 53.00 50.30 51.20 3 -- 1 -1.68
Quarterly 9/1/19 55.47 58.00 54.10 54.30 3 -- 1 -0.78
Quarterly 12/1/19 54.20 54.20 54.20 54.20 1 -- 1 -1.66

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 9/1/18 181.00 -- --
Annual 9/1/17 175.24 -- --
Annual 9/1/16 156.76 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 49.53 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 45.30 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 44.61 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 42.73 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.38
FY0 End Date: 9/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 9/1/21 4.91 4.91 4.91 4.91 1 -- 1 -3.05
Annual 9/1/20 4.41 4.48 4.33 4.41 2 1 1 -2.50
Annual 9/1/19 3.53 3.54 3.51 3.53 2 -- 1 -10.50
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.84 0.85 0.83 0.84 2 -- 1 -5.95
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.94 0.96 0.91 0.94 2 -- 1 -6.42
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.07 1.07 1.06 1.07 2 -- 1 -5.16
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.05 1.08 1.02 1.05 2 1 1 --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 9/1/18 0.38 -- --
Annual 9/1/17 3.24 -- --
Annual 9/1/16 2.24 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.69 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 2.20 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.79 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.36 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): -108.65
FY0 End Date: 9/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 9/1/21 -32.00 -32.00 -32.00 -32.00 1 -- 1 --
Annual 9/1/20 -10.00 -10.00 -10.00 -10.00 1 -- 1 --
Annual 9/1/19 -3.00 -3.00 -3.00 -3.00 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -32.00 -32.00 -32.00 -32.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 9/1/18 -108.65 -72.00 -50.91
Annual 9/1/17 -255.75 -216.83 -17.95
Annual 9/1/16 -170.46 -51.15 -233.25
Quarterly 9/1/18 -108.65 -72.00 -50.91

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 109.60
FY0 End Date: 9/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 9/1/21 140.00 140.00 140.00 140.00 1 -- 1 --
Annual 9/1/20 128.65 134.10 121.00 128.00 5 -- 5 -6.09
Annual 9/1/19 117.21 119.95 116.00 116.90 5 -- 5 -4.19
Quarterly 3/1/19 26.94 28.00 26.10 26.89 5 -- 4 -5.99
Quarterly 6/1/19 29.85 31.17 28.50 29.60 5 -- 4 -4.61
Quarterly 9/1/19 32.49 35.00 31.00 32.00 5 -- 4 -3.28
Quarterly 12/1/19 30.93 32.40 28.00 32.39 3 1 2 -5.94

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 9/1/18 109.60 -- --
Annual 9/1/17 112.06 -- --
Annual 9/1/16 85.61 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 29.26 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 31.62 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 26.50 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 25.47 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 9/1/20 156.80 156.80 156.80 156.80 1 -- -- --
Annual 9/1/19 149.40 149.40 149.40 149.40 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 36.40 36.40 36.40 36.40 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 37.60 37.60 37.60 37.60 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 39.10 39.10 39.10 39.10 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 11.26
FY0 End Date: 9/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 9/1/21 14.10 14.10 14.10 14.10 1 -- -- -0.71
Annual 9/1/20 13.90 13.90 13.90 13.90 1 -- 1 -2.88
Annual 9/1/19 12.90 12.90 12.90 12.90 2 -- 1 --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 9/1/18 11.26 -- --
Annual 9/1/17 11.95 -- --
Annual 9/1/16 9.73 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 12.00 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 2,873.51
FY0 End Date: 9/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 9/1/21 3,759.00 3,759.00 3,759.00 3,759.00 1 -- 1 --
Annual 9/1/20 3,408.37 3,468.00 3,351.30 3,393.84 5 1 4 -1.19
Annual 9/1/19 3,181.58 3,235.20 3,157.30 3,176.20 5 1 4 -0.39
Quarterly 3/1/19 780.50 793.00 774.50 780.00 5 2 2 -0.04
Quarterly 6/1/19 805.08 826.00 791.70 801.50 5 2 2 0.07
Quarterly 9/1/19 832.95 875.00 819.20 823.45 5 2 2 0.08
Quarterly 12/1/19 821.96 831.68 802.60 831.60 3 2 1 -0.51

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 9/1/18 2,873.51 2,863.23 0.36
Annual 9/1/17 2,528.05 2,533.86 -0.23
Annual 9/1/16 2,556.00 2,573.45 -0.68
Quarterly 12/1/18 766.00 767.53 -0.20
Quarterly 9/1/18 771.18 760.98 1.34
Quarterly 6/1/18 726.39 721.08 0.74
Quarterly 3/1/18 698.65 690.80 1.14

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 15.53 34.04 0.46
FY1 13.39 18.65 0.72
FY2 11.79 19.75 0.60

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 15.36 -5.46 1.22
FY2/FY1 16.01 38.61 0.84
FY3/FY2 16.01 38.61 0.84

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